The forecast model that’s done good ….Did get the last general election wrong like the rest of us …
The American economy (And the World’s) is actually slowing right now….
Trump is also losing in current polling in many of the state’s the forecast has him winning…
Th above does have me wondering about the whole forecast results…
A new Moody’s Analytics forecast shows President Trump looks likely to cruise to re-election next year under three different economic models.
“Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure, and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.”
“Three models show Trump getting at least 289 electoral votes and as many as 351, assuming average turnout. The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would win a narrow victory.”
Here’s the forecast map as of today in the CNBC piece....
